It’s prediction time and I am going to lay down my thoughts on who it is I am picking in the up coming UFC pay per view on April 18th, 2009, in my hometown of Montreal.
This is a tricky card with alot of interesting match-ups, so lets get the show started and hopefully I can make the right picks.
Anderson Silva (23-4) vs. Thales Leites (14-1)
Middleweight: 171 to 185 lb
This is a title fight for the UFC middleweight championship. The current champion, Anderson Silva, has won his last 8 fights inside the octagon and has appeared to be unbeatable.
In his last fight, against hard hitting Canadian striker Patrick Cote, many people believed they started to see the signs of a champion who has become bored with the current middleweight challangers his division was being able to produce. Is this really what was happening? Has Anderson Silva lost that killer drive because he doesn’t feel like these fights are worth his time?
Hahaha, ya right, Anderson Silva wouldn’t fight if he didn’t feel he was giving his opponents the respect they deserved by preparing 100%.
This guy is the pound for pound king and as dangerous a fighter as Thales Leites can be (on the ground because his stand up sucks and he has no power), I don’t think he will be the one to dethrone Silva.
My pick in this fight is Anderson Silva via murder.
Mauricio “Shogun” Rua (17-3) vs. Chuck Liddell (21-6)
Light Heavyweight: 186 to 205 lb
This fight is an important fight for both fighters, more so then normal because the loser of this fight might find themselves without a job. Both Chuck and Rua are excellent fighters and will always be considered dangerous, no matter how hard of a time they have had in their last couple of fights, because they shown in the past that they can hang with the best at 205 and win.
As for a more indepth look into this fight, I am wanting to say that Chuck has the edge on the feet and if it hits the mat then you can give it to Rua, though I will acknowledge that Shogun (when he comes in shape) is no joke on the feet and as for Chuck on the ground, well, all I will say is good luck trying to keep him down long enough to get the sub.
Chuck has shown in his last four fights that he is having a hard time dealing with his opponents speed (is he slowing down because of his age? or did he just get caught?), against Rampage and Rashad he went with a punch that was countered and it proved more then enough to halt the fight.
I like Chuck alot, I think he is one of those fighters that you can always watch and know that you’re going to enjoy his fights, but I have to say I am starting to question if it is not indeed time for Chuck to be calling it quits before he ends up hurting himself.
As for Shogun, this guy almost had his career ended after the fall of pride because of issues he was having with his knee. Rua had surgery and all was to be believed well, then something came up and he had to have another surgery on the same knee, this whole process took up time and kept him out of the gym. Questions are rising as to if Shogun is really all that good or if his cardio is just crap because of his inability to properly train with the matters surrounding his knee, etc, etc.
All I can about Shogun is that this should be the fight we see if he is truly a star in the 205 division.
My prediction for this fight is that Chuck will end up winning. I don’t think that Rua has the power or speed that Ramapage and Rashad hold to put him away and I feel with his questionable cardio that he won’t be able to pull a Jardine and decision Chuck.
Luiz Cane (9-1) vs. Steve Cantwell (7-1)
Light Heavyweight: 186 to 205 lb
These are a couple of young guns in the UFC, both have had only a couple of fights in the octagon and I can’t really say all too much about them.
From what I know is that Cane and Cantwell appear to be small 205ers. I think this is an interesting fight because both of these guys seem to be at the same level when it comes to skill, so I will make the prediction that Cane wins this one. The reason why I am choosing Cane is because he comes out aggressive, so when you have two guys who hold no real edge over the other one, then you make the assumption that the judges will come into play and aggression will be a factor in any decesion.
Cheick Kongo (13-4-1) vs. Antoni Hardonk (8-4)
Heavyweight: 206 to 265 lb
This fight will be a key battle in choosing who is the next rising star and contender in the UFC’s growing heavyweight division.
Kongo and Hardonk both come from striking backgrounds, Kongo having a large reach advantage in that department, but Hardonk is the one coming into this fight with alot of buzz behind him. Hardonk has won his last three fights in decisive fashion, while Kongo has been impressive in winning his last two fights.
A big difference in these two fighters is the approach they have taken to fixing the similar weaknesses they have in their respective MMA games. Kongo has improved his taken down defence and appears to work on keeping fights standing up, while Hardonk has developed his BJJ skills and can seemingly survive long enough on the ground to avoid any submission and even at times threaten his opponents from the bottom.
As much as I would like to predict that Hardonk can exploit Kongo’s disadvantage on the ground, I don’t think he will be able to do so and I am prediciting Kongo to takes this one as I feel he holds an edge in the stand up.
Brian Stann (6-1) vs. Krzysztof Soszynski (16-8-1)
Light Heavyweight: 186 to 205 lb
Another interesting 205 pound fight, similar to the Cane vs. Cantwell fight as both of these fighters appear to hold the same type of fighting style.
I am going to make my prediction short and sweet, I am picking Krzysztof to win and I will be cheering for Krzysztof to win. I think Krzysztof holds the edge in the striking but seeing as he has horrible takedown defence but solid BJJ, I believe Krzysztof will be able to threaten from the bottom if his weakness in wrestling is taken advantage of.
That’s it for now, hopefully my picks hold up and next time I can write about how awesome I am.
Until then, I hope you enjoyed my UFC 97 predictions.